|
 |
NORAD and Canada’s National Strategic Relations
Dwight N. Mason[1]
Senior
Associate, Center for Strategic and International Studies
Washington
It is a pleasure to be
here to speak to you at this conference on “Canada’s National Strategic
Relations: NATO and NORAD.” I would like to thank Professor Bercuson and
General Macnamara for the invitation to do so.
These remarks are my own
and are not intended to represent the views of the Center for Strategic
and International Studies or any other entity.
The background material
prepared for this conference describes NATO and NORAD as traditional
pillars of Canadian strategic defense policy. The conference organizers
ask what are or should be the strategic defense policy options for
Canada now, in the light of NATO’s performance in Afghanistan and of
Canada’s decision not to participate in North American missile defense,
thus perhaps fatally weakening NORAD. They have asked me for a United
States perspective on the NORAD pillar. While I cannot offer an
official American perspective, I can certainly offer my views.
Here they are: First,
since 1938, it has been the view of the United States and Canada that
successful defense of North America depends on their cooperation. To
quote President Kennedy, “necessity has made us
allies.”[2]
Second, I think it is
right to say that post World War II Canadian strategic defense policy
has had two aspects: a home game and an away game and that NATO and
NORAD have been central to those games.
Third, the nature of both
games has greatly changed since World War II and will undoubtedly
continue to change. The away game is no longer focused on defense
against the Soviet Union in Europe, and the home game is no longer
primarily about defense against Soviet bombers but has moved on to
Russian ICBMs. But here, the perceived threat level is much reduced
while other threats – principally asymmetric –have emerged. Now, from
an American perspective, the home game goes well beyond military defense
and is about security broadly defined. A new and central American
player is the Department of Homeland Security.
Fourth, playing in either
game requires adequate resources. Here the Canadian Forces face
serious challenges. Much has been said about this, and I do not propose
to add to it except to call attention to Martin Shadwick’s article in
the latest issue of the
Canadian Military Journal.
[3]
After examining testimony
of the three service chiefs before the Senate Standing Committee on
National Security and Defence, Shadwick concludes that absent “ timely
political decisions and funding, the Canadian Forces of 2015 -2017 will
look much different from and possess significantly fewer capabilities
than the Canadian Forces of today.” Pretty clearly he does not expect
such decisions. He cites Lt. General A.B. Leslie, Chief of the Land
Staff, as testifying “a tremendous amount of funding is required to
maintain [army infrastructure], and it is clear that the required funds
will probably not be available.” The United States and Canada’s other
allies can not ignore this situation, and it must affect their planning
and expectations.
Finally, given the changed
circumstances, it is time to take a new look at North American defense
arrangements, an idea suggested over the last several years by a number
of Canadians.[4]
In my opinion, the Canadian way ahead on this subject is to revisit the
interim and final recommendations of the Bi-National Planning Group[5]
as well
as the defense suggestions of the Canadians cited above. I believe
that if Canada were to arrive at a clear picture of the arrangements it
would like, the United States would probably be forthcoming. But it
will require a Canadian initiative to start this process. There will be
no American proponents for change without strong evidence that Canada is
seriously interested. The Canadian decision on ballistic missile
defense created some doubts on this point.
Modern Canadian defense
policy has traditionally had two aspects: the use of multilateral
alliances and organizations to keep security problems at a distance and
to manage global threats, particularly those presented by nuclear
weapons and now also terrorism on the one hand and direct (often
institutionalized) cooperation with the United States to defend North
America on the other. From a Canadian perspective, both strategies
also have the advantage of dealing with the United States in a
structured, rules based manner.[6]
NATO has been a primary vehicle for the first principle and NORAD for
the second
accompanied by a number of other arrangements with the United States
including the Bi-National Security Document, the Continental Defense
Plan, the Permanent Joint Board on Defense and the Military Cooperation
Committee.
During this period, the
defence problems facing Canada and the United States and our NATO allies
have changed and certainly will continue to do so. But the policy
underlying United States – Canadian security cooperation since 1938 has
not changed. That policy was established in an exchange of remarks
between President Roosevelt and Prime Minister Mackenzie King.
After President Roosevelt
said at Queen’s in August of that year that “the people of the United
States would not stand idly by if domination of Canadian soil was
threatened by any other empire”, Prime Minister Mackenzie King replied
several days later that “…we too have our obligations as a good friendly
neighbor, and one of them is to see that …our own country is made as
immune from attack or possible invasion as we can reasonably be expected
to make it, and that should the occasion ever arise, enemy forces should
not be able to pursue their way either by land, sea, or air to the
United States from Canadian territory.”[7]
That understanding is
fundamental to United States -- Canadian defense and now security
relations. What it has come to mean is that North America is a single
military and now security theater, that each country has a duty to the
other to defend North America, and that they will do this together.
This has led to significant coordination and, in the case of air
defense, integration of United States and Canadian North American
defense activities often managed through shared institutions. The
Canadian commitment not to permit use of its territory for attacks on
the United States is now particularly relevant in the light of the
terrorist threat.
The path of defense
institutionalization is clear from 1938. The understanding of that year
was followed by the establishment of the Permanent Joint Board on
Defense (PJBD) in 1940, the Military Cooperation Committee (MCC) in
1946, and the North American Air (later Aerospace) Defense Agreement and
command (NORAD) in 1957. The relationship is now both broad and
dense.
NORAD is the best known
and perhaps the ultimate example of this. Here we see personnel
assigned by both countries working in a single structure sharing
leadership and resource responsibilities and doing so with great success
over a period of fifty years.
However, the importance of
NORAD has declined because of the changing threat, for technical reasons
and also as a result of Canadian political decisions. The threat to
North America, first from Soviet bombers, then from Soviet and now
Russian ICBMs has diminished while the cluster of asymmetric threats
including terrorism has become very important. Warning sensors have
moved to space. United States missile defense, such as it is, does not
depend on NORAD or Canada. The Canadian decision on North American
missile defense not only marginalized NORAD in a key area but also has
influenced American strategic thinking about Canada because that
decision pushed the United States into the position of managing one part
of North American defense without Canada.[8]
Prior to that decision, as
Joseph Jockel shows in his most recent book on NORAD,[9]
the United States had thought of NORAD as the primary vehicle for North
American air defense with other commands supporting it. And this view
came to include missile defense. It had been the United States
expectation that North American missile defense, like air defense, would
be operated by NORAD. In 1999, Jockel shows that there was some
discussion of giving NORAD expanded defense responsibilities. After
9/11 this thinking continued and was discussed informally in the PJBD.
This may well still be the
preferred United States position. This may be true
because of the strong cultural effects of United States- Canadian
defense cooperation since 1940.[10]
However, nothing came of
these ideas, and Canada also declined missile defense. We now have
Northern Command and Canada Command plus NORAD. The missions and
bilateral relations of those two commands leave NORAD in an odd,
uncomfortable position. It is hard to see how this situation can or
should continue indefinitely.
The lack of enthusiasm in
Canada for a NORAD-run continental defense system was surprising to
Americans. First, it would have been in the tradition of the 1938
understanding. And secondly, many had thought that it was so clearly in
Canada’s interest to do this (thereby maximizing Canadian influence in
continental defense planning and execution and reducing Canadian costs
though the use of United States assets), that this would be the way
ahead.
Although United States -
Canadian military cooperation in North America has changed with
circumstances and the importance of Canadian air space has declined, the
importance of Canada to United States security has not changed. Rather
it has taken on an additional, different dimension because of the threat
presented by terrorism.
Cooperation with Canada on
terrorism is important to the United States because of the increasing
economic integration in North America. This integration has created an
expanding zone of interdependence and resulting vulnerabilities
requiring ever more cooperation and active, indeed sometime intrusive,
management. An important consequence of this is that more and more
players are brought into the game and more and more peoples’ interests
are affected in both countries. Managing the relationship is becoming
more difficult and demanding. This trend and its effects are likely to
intensify in the future.
From an American
perspective, a consequence of this trend is that cooperation with Canada
in intelligence, law enforcement, and management of people and things at
the border has become very important. North America is still a single
theater – only a larger and more complex one than in World War II and
the Cold War.
Both countries have
created new military and civil structures to cope with this new
situation. In the United States we have Northern Command and the
Department of Homeland Security. Canada has created similar
structures. The future of North American security cooperation in the
broadest sense lies in how these organizations develop and how they work
together at home and across the border with their counterparts. This is
the new home game. How this cooperation should be managed needs
thought and political attention if we are to achieve the level of
effectiveness that now exists in the military domain as exemplified by
NORAD, the PJBD and the MCC.
The current NORAD Agreement calls for a review of
NORAD in 2010.[11]
Such a review offers an opportunity to look at this subject, and in
particular at how its military aspects including missions ought to be
organized and managed in the current environment. This is timely
because NORAD, as it now exists, does not look like an adequate pillar
for Canadian strategic policy. It is too narrowly focused in the light
of currents threats. It does not fit well with Northern Command and
Canada Command.
It seems to me that a good
place to start in a Canadian examination of what might be the basis for
a revised Canadian strategic policy for North American defense would be
to revisit the recommendations of the Bi-National Planning Group. They
recommended a new North American Defense Agreement building on the NORAD
model as well as similar ideas put forward by a number of Canadians
mentioned above. I think they have a good point.[12]
We should remember that no matter what difficulties NORAD may now have,
its way of doing business has had a successful track record for 50 year
Endnotes
[4]
Indeed, many suggest a broader, integrated look at all aspects of
the relationship.
See, for example: Canadian Council of Chief Executives
http://www.ceocouncil.ca/publications/pdf/b10f11c9777f6bcf34fa14e57a594c3c/presentations_
2003_01_14.pdf , Ambassador Allan Gotlieb
http://www.cdhowe.org/pdf/benefactors_lecture_
2004.pdf, and Carleton University, Canada –U.S. Project:
From Correct to Inspired : A Blueprint for
Canada – U.S. Engagement, January 19, 2009,
http://www.ctpl.ca and its associated background
papers, as well as John Noble, Fortress America or Fortress North
America?
http://www.irpp.org/events/archive/apr04/noble.pdf and Daniel
Schwanen, Deeper Broader: A
Roadmap for a Treaty of North America,
http://www.irpp.org/books/archive/schwanen_roadmap.pdf
.and Alexander Moens, Canadian American Relations in 2007, http://www.fraserinstitute.org/commerce.web/product_files/CanadianAmericanRelations2007.pdf
and The introduction and articles by David Bercuson, D.H. Burney,
George E.C. Macdonald and James Fergusson in In the Canadian
Interest? Assessing Canada’s International Policy Statement,
Canadian Defence and Foreign Affairs Institute, Calgary, October
2005,
http://www.cdfai.org/PDF/In%20The%20Canadian%20Interest%20E.pdf
(All accessed 11-10-09).
|