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Country Studies
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Current Country Studies Listing:
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2013 Papers
West African Canaries in the Gold Mine:
Investment Outlook and Challenges for
Burkina Faso & Mali
by Chris W.J. Roberts
In a new report, Chris Roberts,
President of African Access Consulting,
argues that both Burkina Faso and Mali
represent two pivotal West African
states that attract considerable
Canadian mining foreign direct
investment. This makes them uniquely
suited to provide important signals
about three interdependent global
challenges: environmental vulnerability,
state fragility and resource
nationalism. He concludes that the two
nations face tremendous challenges to
overcome their ranking among the globe's
poorest 25 economies.
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2012 Papers
Door Half Open: Opportunities and
Challenges for Potential Investors in
Romania
by Dragos C. Popa
This country study examines the
political, economic and security
climates of Romania. Currently the
country is undergoing a vibrant process
of transformation. It has been
successful in finding peaceful solutions
to its post-Communist political
challenges, but suffers from a highly
fragmented political scene, which
results in inconsistency in the
production and application of economic
laws, regulations, policies and
procedures. However, the paper concludes
that there are definitely prospects for
foreign investors to pursue business
opportunities in Romania.
Philippines
by Peter Sutherland
A new Country Study by Peter Sutherland
shows that the country has gained new
confidence as a result of the recent
election of a new president, but in
order to regain its position as one of
the leading economies in Southeast Asia
it will need sound macroeconomic policy,
investment in infrastructure, and
effective programs to address the social
and economic disparities that fuel local
insurgencies.
Serbia Between East and West
by Hrach Gregorian
A new Country Study from CDFAI Fellow
Hrach Gregorian, President of the
Institute of World Affairs, discusses
the risks and opportunities of doing
business with Serbia and concludes that
while business relationships may be
complicated, working in close
consultation with local experts can lead
to fruitful investment.
Turkey: Current and Future Political,
Economic and Security Trends
by Aliye Pekin Çelik and Laura Elizabeth
Çelik
A new Country Study from Aliye Pekin
Çelik and Laura Elizabeth Çelik
investigates the political, economic and
security trends of Turkey. They note
that the country is a secular democracy
with one of the fastest growing
economies in the world, with aspirations
of becoming a regional power in the
Middle East. They conclude that in
addition to having good relations with
western and eastern countries, the
Republic of Turkey is an economically
successful, stable, peaceful,
democratic, and secular country in a
region rife with conflict.
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2010 Papers
Mexico: Current and Future Political,
Economic and Security Trends
by Dr. Hal Klepak and Stephen J. Randall
In advance of the September 16th
bicentenary celebration of the of
Mexican Independence, authors Hal
Klepak, Professor Emeritus of Strategy
and Latin American History at the Royal
Military College and CDFAI Fellow,
Stephen J. Randall of the Centre for
Military and Strategic Studies at the
University of Calgary explore the
challenges facing Mexico in the coming
years and discuss implications for the
partnership with Canada.
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2009 Papers
Assessing Threats in the Niger Delta
by Patrick Lennox
Although there is a sense of optimism
surrounding the situation in the Delta
at the time of writing, this report
predicts that unless fundamental
disparities between the economic and
environmental wellbeing of local
populations and the profits made by
transnational oil companies are
rectified, the underlying driving forces
of the conflict will continue to fester.
Future flare-ups in the conflict can be
expected to have greater geographic and
destructive scope, following the
trend-lines of the pre-amnesty/ceasefire
period. To fully drain the swamp of
conflict, the underlying problems that
drive the conflict will have to be
seriously addressed. Such a process is
likely to take decades, rather than the
weeks it has been since the
amnesty/ceasefire. Expect more conflict
and unrest to drive the political
economic situation in the Delta in the
medium to long-term.
Dancing on Snake Heads in Yemen
by Iris Glosemeyer
Yemen, known as a terrorist haven, is
faced with a number of serious
challenges and yet its government seems
unaware of the problems that lie ahead.
Iris Glosemeyer argues that because of
its priorities, the government will be
unable to quell problems arising from
Yemeni political, socio-economic, and
security spheres.
Resource Industries and Security Issues
in Northern Alberta
by Dr. Tom Flanagan
The rapid expansion of natural-resource
industries in northern Alberta,
accompanied by growing environmentalist
and aboriginal-rights movements, raises
issues of possible extra-legal and even
violent resistance to industrial
development. In this paper Dr. Tom
Flanagan assesses the threats posed by
five potential sources of opposition:
individual saboteurs, eco-terrorists,
mainstream environmentalists, First
Nations, and the Métis people.
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2008 Papers
Contemporary Piracy off the Horn of
Africa
by Patrick Lennox, Ph.D.
As the instability in the state of
Somalia grows, the threat of piracy in
the Gulf of Aden only increases. Patrick
Lennox, the J.L. Granatstein
Postdoctoral Fellow at the University of
Calgary's Centre for Military Strategic
Studies, explores the economic impact of
piracy in the Gulf of Aden and what can
be done to help bring stability back to
the region.
Georgia: Risk and Opportunity
by Neil MacFarlane, Ph.D.
Although a small state, Georgia sits on
an important transit route for oil and
gas leaving the Caspian Basin and
flowing to Mediterranean, European, and
global markets. Neil MacFarlane argues,
however, that the potential business
opportunities in Georgia are far
outweighed by the risks. In this paper
he examines recent economic, social, and
political trends and concludes that the
country is both economically and
politically unstable, and that the
government is not prepared to address a
daunting range of domestic and
international difficulties.
Mexico: Current and Future Political,
Economic and Security Trends
by Dr. Hal Klepak
Two major problems still face Mexico's
economic and democratic development:
deeply entrenched security problems
across the country and its heavy
economic dependence on the United
States. In this paper looks at these
problems and assess Mexico's future
political, economic, and security
trends.
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2007 Papers
Nigeria: Mapping Political, Economic
and Business Scenarios in the
Post-Obasanjo Era
by Stephen Nairne
Nigeria is an important state and cannot
be ignored. It has the largest
population of any country in Africa, is
home to more Muslims than any other
state on the continent, and is one of
the world's leading oil producers. This
paper explores possible medium term
political, economic and business
scenarios based on Umaru Yar'Adua's
assumption of the Nigerian presidency in
April 2007, the progress of the 2003
plan to reinvigorate the economy, and
the strengthening counter-insurgency
movement within Nigeria.
Turkey: Current and Future Political,
Economic, and Security Trends
by Aliye Pekin Çelik, Ph.D. and Leylac
Naqvi, MALD
Kemal Atatürk's efforts to Westernize
and modernize the new republic of Turkey
after the First World War gave Turkey a
unique political perspective that
continues to influence that country's
political policies. This paper seeks to
address the current and future
political, economic and security trends
in one of the only democratic, peaceful
and stable countries in an unstable
region.
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2006 Papers
Colombia: Current and Future Political,
Economic and Security Trends
by Dr. Steve Randall
Some analysts believe that
Colombia is now at the point where it
can move beyond thirty years of internal
strife and realize its full potential,
especially its economic potential. This
paper delves into the ways in which the
political and security environment has
evolved in Colombia in order to
understand and examine Colombia's
current political, economic and security
trends and predict possible trends five
to ten years in the future.
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