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 CDFAI DISPATCH: WINTER 2008 (VOLUME VI, ISSUE IV)

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Promoting new understanding and improvement of Canadian foreign and defence policy.

Canadian Defence & Foreign Affairs Institute
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IN THIS ISSUE

Message from the President - ROBERT S. MILLAR

Welcome to the Winter 2008 issue of “The Dispatch.” The first thing you might notice about this edition is that it is in an entirely new format. The format will continue to evolve over the coming months and we encourage you to let us know what you think of it. In this edition of “The Dispatch,” there are two feature articles. The first examines the changing humanitarian space and asserts that it is the Canadian government’s responsibility to protect its citizens abroad. The second discusses how the Canada-U.S. relationship can be managed under a new American administration. The other six articles cover an array of topics from relations with China to the legal processes at Guantanamo. I encourage you to read each of them. I hope you enjoy this issue!
 

Article Summaries from the Assistant Editor

  1. Canadian Humanitarian Worker Security: Whose Responsibility is it? – Gordon Smith, Allen Kanerva, and Frans Barnard. Humanitarian agencies often find themselves in a space increasingly shared with militaries pursuing development operations. Gordon, Allen, and Frans state that this has put workers in more danger and note that there has been a sharp increase in the incidence of violence against humanitarian workers. The question, then, is who is responsible for the safety of these people who risk so much to help others? The authors argue that, as part of its commitment to human security and international development, the Canadian government must ensure that appropriate security measures are taken to protect Canadian workers and ensure that these people are properly trained in order to lower their risk levels.
     

  2. Managing the Canada-U.S. Relationship in the Obama Era – Denis Stairs. Canadians, for the most part, share in the international enthusiasm for the Obama-Biden foreign policy plan as it is more moderate and international in focus and may also produce new initiatives in the Canada-U.S. relationship. This, contends Denis, is not because the new administration will look more favourably on Canadian concerns, but because Canadians are more agreeable to working closely with the new administration. This new opportunity that political leaders will have to renegotiate the bilateral relationship, must fall within the traditional rules of constructive Canada-U.S. statecraft.
     

  3. The GWOT + 7 – Brian Flemming. The Global War on Terror (GWOT) has spanned seven years, but those countries still fighting the GWOT are now suffering from “crisis fatigue,” and unless another incident occurs, security measures are less likely to be funded. Brian argues that diminished funding of security measures, combined with the financial crisis, is a good thing because it will force national security institutions to do a serious cost-benefit analysis and will allow the Canadian government to develop a “resilient” approach to future extremist attacks. He also contends that the Canadian public should be involved in deciding on the security measures the government funds.
     

  4. It’s Time for a Defence Industrial Strategy – Sharon Hobson. What Canada has is a defence policy and plans to increase the defence budget for the next twenty years. What Canada does not have is a Defence Industrial Strategy, akin to those in the UK and Australia. Sharon argues that because DND will be acquiring billions of dollars in the next twenty years, and because there have already been procurement missteps, the need for this strategy is greater than it has ever been. The government, she states, must stop operating on the basis of ad hoc policies and create a defence industrial strategy that will help to build both the Canadian military and economy.
     

  5. Guantanamo – Frank Harvey. In April 2008, Frank attended Salim Ahmed Hamdan’s open militarycommission hearings in Guantanamo as an academic observer. He states that the image the media portrays of legal processes violated by an administration bent on imposing its will is simply not true. Mr. Hamdan’s legal team, and the teams of other detainees, are experts, have long years of experience, are relentless in the defence of their clients, and have a huge success rate. With this in mind, Frank questions whether it would be in Omar Khadr’s best interests to be tried in Canada, how Canada would deal with such a trial, and whose interests are really being served by brining him back to Canada. He also posits on the future of Guantanamo.
     

  6. Risks, Disasters and Crises: A Better Comprehension of the Stakes in Civil Protection – DanyDeschênes. In this article, Dany examines the differences and connections between risk, disaster, and crisis. He states that risk is a critical factor today because our society has become characterized by risk and because a risk to one sector of our society can become a risk to multiple sectors. Dany also argues that we need to stop solely associating risk with terrorism and that Canada must improve its collaboration between all levels of government in order to effectively deal with risk, disaster, and crisis.
     

  7. Charm and Repression – Ralph Sawyer. China, Ralph contends, is a master of deception and is playing the international community right into its hands. Chinese officials have launched a multipronged effort to achieve their perceived new world order – a world in which the United States and Europe have ossified and in which China has taken back its rightful place as the major world power. Ralph argues that the reluctance of people in the United States, and in other countries, to publically criticize China is creating a concensus it desires. That, combined with China’s strategy of alienating the world, and especially resource rich countries, from the United States, is giving China an edge in the battle for scarce natural resources and political space.
     

  8. Measuring the Comprehensive Approach to Peace Operations – Sarah Meharg. Since 2005, measuring the effectiveness of peace operations has been a high priority for the international community. In that same year, the Canadian Forces Joint Operations Group asked Sarah to develop a way to measure the effectiveness of Canadian PRT activities in Afghanistan. In this article Sarah reveals the two main results her research yielded and argues that measuring the effectivness of peace operations is directly linked to the international community’s success in these operations. It could lead, she states, to a common strategy that would ensure the underlying causes of conflict are properly addressed.

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Message from the Editor-in-Chief - david bercuson

David Bercuson is the Director of Programs at CDFAI, the Director of the Centre for Military and Strategic Studies at the University of Calgary, and the Honorary Lieutenant Colonel of the 41 Combat Engineer Regiment.

The attacks on Mumbai in the last week of November should wake up Prime Minister Stephen Harper about the real stakes in Afghanistan. As of this writing (November 30), no one is yet sure which “movement” perpetrated the raid, but one thing is certain: the raiders sole purpose was to kill as many innocents as possible. There can be no question either that they did not finance, plan, or train themselves for the  strike. But it does not matter too much whether they were Islamic terrorists from inside India (the so-called India or Deccan Mujahadin), Pakistan–either from Kashmir, the Federally Administered Tribal Areas or any other trouble spots in that area–or even Afghanistan. It is clear today that all are linked and all are part of one larger murderous collection of jihadis who are engaged in total war against everyone who is not them.

Without question the best book on the subject is Descent into Chaos: The United States and the Failure of Nation Building in Pakistan, Afghanistan and Central Asia. Written by Pakistani journalist Ahmed Rashid, the book is NOT an anti-American rant. It is instead a careful exposition of how intertwined the jihadi movement is across a large swath of central Asia and how poorly the Bush administration (and others) understood this when committing to a military operation in Afghanistan. It also points to how it might have been carried out with greater success.

Put bluntly, the same enemy that attacked Mumbai is attacking our troops in Afghanistan – it is the same religious fanaticism, the same world view, often the same people from Chechnya, Zinzjang, Pakistan, Indonesia, the Philippines, and Bosnia, funded by the same sources of cash and with the same aim. Pakistan may be “jihadi central,” as Rashid explains, but the tentacles reach out for a thousand kilometers in any direction.

Rashid demonstrates that the key to winning the war against these jihadis is ultimately to be found in Pakistan. A Pakistan resolved to rooting out the terrorism in its midst, whether by undermining the basis of jihadism in schools, mosques, etc., or by force, or by any combination of such, is the ultimate answer. But if India, Afghanistan and even China hold the line around Pakistan, jihadism will be geographically limited and pressure will grow on Pakistan to deal with it.

In Kandahar province, Canada holds only one tiny piece of this very large puzzle. But it is a keypiece and abandoning Kandahar, in particular, or giving up in Afghanistan in general, will prolong this struggle that much more.

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announcements

Dinner with Derek Burney
On 8 October, CDFAI hosted a dinner in Calgary at which Derek Burney shared his views on the Canada-U.S. relationship in a talk entitled, “The Audacity of Common Sense.” This event was held on the eve of a Canada-U.S. relations workshop hosted by Carleton University, in partnership with CDFAI, the Alberta government, and other contributors. Derek Burney is a Senior Fellow with CDFAI, a Senior Strategic Advisor to Ogilvy Renault LLP, and a former Canadian Ambassador to the United States.

Ross Munro Media Award
Congratulations to Mr. Alec Castonguay, who was chosen as the 2008 Ross Munro media award recipient in recognition of his excellent reporting on Canadian military and defence issues! Mr. Castonguay received his award at the CDA Institute’s Vimy Dinner on Friday, 14 November, in the LeBreton Gallery of the Canadian War Museum in Ottawa.

Luncheon with Brian Flemming
U.S. administration.

Brian Flemming spoke about Canada-U.S. relations in the Arctic in Calgary on 10 November. His was the first presentation in our newly formatted speaker series and a more in depth version of his talk will be published by CDFAI in December as Canada-U.S. Relations in the Arctic: A Neighbourly Proposal.

 

Upcoming Publications
Before year end CDFAI will publish two quarterly research papers that you may find of interest. In his paper, President Al Gore and the 2003 Iraq War: A Counterfactual Critique of Conventional “W”isdom, Frank Harvey argues that the “Bush-neocon-war” thesis is an unsubstantiated assertion and that the United States would have gone to war with Iraq even if Al Gore had become president. In his upcoming paper, Canada-U.S. Relations in the Arctic: A Neighbourly Proposal, Brian Flemming states that it is time for Canada and the United States to put aside their legal claims over the North West Passage and create a bilateral North West Passage Authority that will allow them to control this vital Water Route.

Canada-U.S. Relations Workshop
On 9 October the Norman Paterson School of International Affairs and the Centre for Trade Policy and Law at Carleton University, in cooperation with CDFAI, hosted an Author’s Workshop entitled, “Blueprint for Canada-U.S. Engagement under a New Administration,” at the McDougall Conference Centre, Calgary. This event sought to provide political leadership with new ideas on creating a positive relationship with the incoming U.S. administration.

 

CDFAI would like to wish everyone a Merry Christmas and Happy New Year!

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Annual Conference

This year’s conference, “Canada & the United States: What Does it Mean to be Good Neighbours,” was held on 27 October at the Crowne Plaza Hotel in Ottawa. Just over 200 people attended and listened to excellent presentations, on a variety of issues within Canada-U.S. relations from high calibre panelists, as well as our two keynote speakers: Michael Kergin, former Canadian Ambassador to the United States; and Paul Cellucci, former American Ambassador to Canada. CDFAI is very grateful to our sponsors for their generous support that made the conference possible.

For more information on the 2008 Annual Conference and for presentation summaries and photos, please visit www.cdfai.org/conf2008.

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Feature Article: Canadian Humanitarian Worker Security: Whose Responsibility is it?

by Gordon Smith

Gordon Smith is the Director of the Centre for Global Studies, and Adjunct Professor of Political Science at the University of Victoria. Prior to 1997 he was with Foreign Affairs Canada and, among other positions, held two Ambassadorships and served as the Deputy Minister of Foreign Affairs.

 

On August 13th, 2008, the Taliban attacked and brutally killed three female aid workers from the International Rescue Society and their Afghan driver outside of Kabul, Afghanistan.

Two were Canadians. This article is inspired by our close friend and colleague, Shirley Case, whose life was cut short while in unselfish service to Afghani children.

 

Canadians like Shirley, serving throughout the world in development, humanitarian or peacebuilding activities, often find themselves in complex scenarios in which infrastructure is insufficient to support the needs of the population, legal structures are weak if they exist at all, and the adherence to the rule of law is minimal. The risks associated with serving in these environments are considerable.

 

Preparing for the World Abroad

Compared to Canadian diplomats, corporate workers, police and military, Canadian aid workers rarely receive training adequate for what might confront them in their humanitarian deployments. While there are exceptions to this, the vast majority of first time humanitarian workers go into the field without the benefit afforded to others who go into dangerous and complex environments. Learning as you go in this area is obviously fraught with danger.

 

The Changing Humanitarian Space

Much is said about the “humanitarian space.” Questions and heated debates abound as humanitarian agencies find themselves increasingly sharing this space with military - hearts and minds operations - and politicised presence. From Colin Powell referring to humanitarian actors as being a “force multiplier” to the head of USAID in 2003 threatening the funding of any agencies which refused to overtly support the Bush administration, or French Foreign Minister Bernard Kouchner's recent comments about obtaining information on Hamas from French NGOs– humanitarian agencies and workers have been operating in an increasingly confused and dangerous environment. Canadian military Provincial Reconstruction Teams (PRTs) and the convergence of defence, development and diplomacy represent the institutionalization of these changes.

 

A major study in 2006, Providing aid in insecure environments: trends in policy and operations, sponsored in part by the Canadian government, identified an alarming rise in the incidence of major acts of violence – killings, kidnappings, and armed attacks resulting in ser ious injury – against humanitarian workers.

 

Today, humanitarian workers in general, and more specifically Canadian humanitarian workers in Afghanistan, have been put on notice; the Taliban has issued specific statements of threat against them. For those who remain and for those who have yet to deploy, the question has to focus on how to respond to this seismic shift in the operational environment.

 

 

Operational Security in Humanitarian Endeavours

Effective NGO operational security focuses on identifying threats, examination of individual and agency vulnerability, assessment of risk, development of mitigation strategies and, finally, a review of residual or unmitigated risk. Both individuals and organisations need clearly defined risk thresholds enabling clear and objective decision making appropriate to any given moment.

 

The standard framework for NGO security planning is based on three strategies: “acceptance, protection and deterrence.” These represent options ranging from soft to hard and are not linear in relationship, but more appropriately demonstrated by a triangle.

 

Acceptance relies upon communities who “accept” the NGO’s presence, consent to their activities, and see the NGOs as impartial, all of which contributes to their overall operational security.

 

Protection invokes more active strategies to augment the security afforded through acceptance. This might include measures such as developing and implementing comprehensive security policy and procedures, reducing visibility and the use of protective devices – personal security, communications devices, and security equipment, up to and including the use of

unarmed guards.

 

Protection can be used concurrently in environments where acceptance is, by and large, sufficient.

 

Deterrence is a move to more robust security in the knowledge that community based acceptance and the use of protection does not match the risk. Deterrence, at the highest levels might include legal, political or economic sanctions. However the reality for most NGOs is that deterrence will be framed by heightened physical security, up to and including the employment of armed security. The ultimate deterrence is the suspension of operations and the withdrawal of all staff. Properly employed, this range of security postures should allow an organization to react to the risk environment in appropriate ways while remaining congruent with its beliefs and values.

 

Acceptance has been the unchallenged foundation for security of humani tarian operations congruent with the NGO values of transparency, neutrality and impartiality. Currently, the humanitarian operating context in countries such as Afghanistan, Somalia, Chad, Sudan, Iraq or the DRC is such that , regardless of community support, a robust protection-based strategy with elements of deterrence such as armed guards must be considered by NGOs as an operational imperative. Further, the willingness to move to full deterrence – ceasing operations and repatriating staff - must be a realistic alternative.

 

Mission complacency combined with shifts in the operating environment creates fertile ground in which implemented security strategies fail to match the actual risks. An extensively used, overly simplified formula, is that risk = threat x vulnerability. As humanitarian workers we cannot change the threat, we can only influence positively or negatively vulnerability. Proper application of well founded security principles contribute to lowering an organization’s vulnerability. However, it is also the responsibility of individuals to  minimize their vulnerability. That means having sufficient training, experience and confidence to interpret what the risk levels and the organization’s security posture means to them.

 

Staff members may feel pressure to override their own understanding of risk, raising the threshold. This pressure, whether internal, external, motivated by immaturity, lack of experience, or zeal to make a difference, is often immense. Failure to align staff and NGO risk values has the potential of for significant compromise.

 

What should be clear and logical is seldom so. In Iraq in October 2004, Care International operated in acceptance security protocol despite the UN, IRC and most major NGOs having adopted robust protection/deterrence or full deterrence strategies. Margaret Hassan, the Dublin born head of CARE in Iraq, was married to an Iraqi and had been there for over 25 years. She believed that she had a high level of acceptance based on tenure: "She has tremendous presence. If there is anybody who can build a rapport with whoever these people

are, she will,"British film maker Ms Arbuthnot said, “ . . . she (Mrs Hassan) did not fear being targeted in revenge attacks by Iraqis.” Margaret Hassan was abducted while driving to work on October 19th and subsequently killed. CARE ceased Iraq operations on the 20th of October.

 

Preparation; Whose Responsibility is it?

Recruitment organizat ions, internship offering organizations, educational work placement programs and governments themselves have a direct responsibility when sending, recommending, recruiting or otherwise encouraging individuals to participate in dangerous situations. NGOs, constrained by competition for funding, attempt to stringently apply each dollar to program delivery. Dollars attributed to security training take away from program delivery leaving NGOs resistant to increasing security expenditures. Internat ional Co-operation Minister, Bev Oda, in charge of Canada’s largest humanitarian funding agency CIDA, stressed that one of the priorities for Afghanistan was “...(to) apply its resources and work with the Afghan government and international partners to ensure measurable progress between now and 2011... (by) providing humanitarian assistance to the most vulnerable people.” Despite this emphasis, CIDA would say that it is the responsibility of the individual and or their organization to be prepared. Yet NGOs would be hard pressed to get funding from CIDA if they added robust security training and security measures as part of their operational costs.

 

Concurrent with the apparent lack  of direct support for security measures, CIDA took measures to further limit its exposure to liability by changing clauses in its funding documentation.

 

Still others might argue that it is  the role of the large international organizations such as the UN to ensure the safety and security of humanitarian workers. This is just not practical: “Very little of the extra security funding within the UN has resulted in extra security budget lines for the UN’s NGO implementing partners. The major donors have financed joint training initiatives for international NGOs, and some support has been provided to coordinated security management in the field. However, this has not been a core priority for NGOs.” As in so many other innovations in the field of humanitarian affairs, it may be the time to be clear it is the role of the donors to ensure, even demand, that appropriate security measures and training form core capabilities of implementing partners.

 

 

Canada Protecting Canadians

It is clear that there needs to be training made available to Canadians prior to their working in complex humanitarian situations. It seems reasonable that this training should be provided as a service at no cost, or at least embed the cost in the government’s overall financial commitment to human security, international development or other foreign policy programs. Pre- eployment screening, education, awareness training, and actual scenario based training would help to ensure that individuals have that capacity. The result would be organizations in which all individuals are competent and the ability to ‘mainstream’ safety and security is greatly enhanced. Corporations and their employees could also access training programs on a fee for service basis. Corporations would benefit in their staff having had effective pre-deployment training. Employees would be more effective in the field, and costs associated with support in foreign countries would be lowered. Additionally, much of the material presented could be applicable across a number of sectors – military, police, government officials, corporations and humanitarian organizations. Key concepts such as situational awareness, personal safety, threat, vulnerability and risk assessme n t s, wou l d be invaluable. For those people going to more complex environments, more intense training could be provided. The Pear son Peacekeeping Centre at one time of fered such a course: “ Foundat ions of Peace Operations.” Regrettably, despite the growing number of Canadians working in humanitarian efforts, course offerings have decreased due to the lack of government funding. Instead, millions of dollars are directed through military training assistance programs to officers from foreign nations. The incongruence is overwhelming.

 

 

Conclusion

Complexity and risk are  unfortunately the reali ty. Humanitarian ideals, values and goals are frequently the very issues which engender NGO vulnerabilities. Misunderstanding and failure to fully confront the consequences of delivering humanitarian assistance in complex environments leaves NGOs and their staff vulnerable. From the moment of arrival in a humanitarian mission, individuals are vulnerable to abduction, crossfire, IEDs and ambushes. These are the reality of the threats humanitarian workers face as they attempt to provide assistance in emergencies. Canada provides significant resources – financial, but more importantly its citizens - to the field of humanitarian relief , development and peacebuilding around the globe. Ensuring that the work continues is critical; therefore it is incumbent on the Government, on behalf of all Canadians, to ensure that all of the people who give freely of themselves in the service of others do so as well prepared aspossible.

 

Endnotes:

1. Colin Powell, “Remarks by Secretary of State Colin L. Powell to the National Foreign Policy Conference for Leaders of Non-Governmental Organizations,” 26 October 2001, http://usinfo.state.gov/topical/pol/terror/01102606.htm.

2. Andrew Natsios, “Remarks at the InterAction Forum, Closing Plenary Session,” 21 May 2003, www.interaction.org/forum2003/panels.html.

3. http://www.gulfnews.com/region/Middle_East/10250881.html.

4. One consequence of this has been agencies such as MSF leaving Afghanistan after more than 20 years of operational presence. Their decision followed the targeted killing of 5 staff in 2004. They rightly claimed that the shift in military priorities to include what had

previously been distinct humanitarian operations, created confusion, suspicion and the fertile ground for the actions being  taken against humanitarian workers.

5. Stoddard, Harmer and Haver,Providing aid in insecure environments:trends in policy and operations,” Humanitarian Policy Group Report 23, September 2006.

6. Ibid. Since 1997, the absolute number of reported major acts of violence (killings, kidnappings and armed attacks resulting in serious injury) against aid workers has risen sharply, nearly doubling (a 92% increase) between 1997–2001 and 2002–2005. All told, 408 separate acts of major violence were perpetrated against aid workers over the nine-year period, involving 947 victims, including 434 fatalities.

7. http://www.upi.com/Top_News/2008/08/17/
Taliban_issues_warning_to_Canadians/
UPI-28421219010140/.

8. Koenraad Van Brabant, Operational Security Management in Violent

Environments (ODI, June 2000).

9. In risk management, the calculation of risk associated with a particular threat is most often stated as risk = probability x impact. In the complex environment which we are talking about we have restated that formula such that risk = threat (probability x impact) x vulnerability. This speaks more clearly as to where an individual or organization can affect the greatest impact.

10. BBC News, October 20, 2004, http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/uk_news/3756552.stm.

11. http://www.canadainternational.gc.ca/canada-afghanistan/
speechesdiscours/2008_08_26.aspx.

12. A review of the sample budget for a crisis intervention program on the CIDA website confirms that there are no line items allocated for security training or extra security measures.

13. In fact, in a series of changes completed this year, CIDA added clauses to its grant agreements which reduce their exposure to liability in the event that an aid worker is injured, harmed or killed while working on a CIDA funded program. It does suggest that somewhere there has been a potential (yet real) liability identified for funders. http://www.canada.com/reginaleaderpost/news/story.html?id=abb2346e-88ae-4a9d-8b10-8da849b9f14b.

14. Stoddard, et al.

 

 

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Article: The GWOT +7

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Article: Risks, Disasters and Crises: A Better Comprehension of the Stakes in Civil Protection

 

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Article: Charm and Repression

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Article: Measuring the Comprehensive Approach to Peace Operations


 

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About Our Organization

 

Institute Profile

CDFAI is a research institute pursuing authoritative research and new ideas aimed at ensuring Canada has a respected and influential voice in the international arena.
 

Background

CDFAI is a charitable organization, founded in 2001, and based in Calgary. CDFAI develops and disseminates materials and carries out activities to promote understanding by the Canadian public of national defence and foreign affairs issues. CDFAI is developing a body of knowledge can be used for Canadian policy development, media analysis and educational support. The Fellows program, a group of highly experienced and talented individuals, support CDFAI by authoring research papers and essays, responding to media queries, running conferences, initiating polling, and developing outreach and education projects.

 

Mission Statement

To be a catalyst for innovative Canadian global engagement.

 

Goal/Aim

CDFAI was created to address the ongoing discrepancy between what Canadians need to know about Canadian foreign and defence policy and what they do know. Historically, Canadians tend to think of foreign policy - if they think of it at all - as a matter of trade and markets. They are unaware of the importance of Canada engaging diplomatically, militarily, and with international aid in the ongoing struggle to maintain a world that is friendly to the legitimate free flow of goods, services, people and ideas across borders and the promotion of human rights. They are largely unaware of

the connection between a prosperous and free Canada and a world of globalization and liberal internationalism. CDFAI is dedicated to education Canadians, and particularly those who play leadership roles in shaping Canadian international policy, to the importance of Canada playing an active and ongoing role in world affairs, with tangible diplomatic, military and aid assets.

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January 2012

The Secret Tory Plan Revealed

  by Jack Granatstein

Now Available:
Winter 2011 Edition of
"The Dispatch"

 

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