So much for all those nasty threats to our Arctic sovereignty:
Harper’s tough talk on the Arctic less stern in private
Despite the military photo ops and defiant words aimed at the Russian Bear in the Far North, U.S. diplomatic cables indicate that Stephen Harper doesn’t believe there’s a threat of military conflict there: He told NATO it is not wanted in the Arctic because there’s no likelihood of war.
The cables, released by website WikiLeaks, indicate that the U.S. embassy in Washington saw much of the Conservative government’s aggressive public statements on the Arctic as a partisan strategy to win votes rather than substantive government policies. In private, the cables indicate, Mr. Harper was more “pragmatic.”
The massive potential for oil and gas discoveries in the Arctic has countries scrambling for offshore turf, but those claims are largely being settled by United Nations legal arbitration. Nonetheless, Mr. Harper’s government has often hinted at potential military encroachment by Russia and stressed the need for beefed-up military hardware to defend the Arctic…
…there’s a populist reason to take such stands: Although defence experts often dismiss the idea that Canada’s Arctic is actually under foreign threat, many Canadians seem to think it is. A 2009 Environics survey found that 60 per cent of people living north of the 60th parallel (and 52 per cent of those south of it) believe there is a security or sovereignty threat to the northern border…
The release of the cables came as the Arctic Council – which includes Canada, the United States, Russia, Norway, Sweden, Finland, Denmark and Iceland – signed its first legally binding treaty to divide responsibilities for search-and-rescue activities in the Arctic. The deal sets aside the trickier questions of territorial claims to provide for legally entrenched functional co-operation [more here and an American view here]…
…U.S. diplomatic cables express skepticism about whether Canadian Arctic policies live up to the Harper government’s rhetoric. A 2009 cable on Canada’s defence policy describes the plan to build six Arctic Patrol ships for the navy as “an example of a requirement driven by political rather than military imperatives, since the navy did not request these patrol ships. The Conservatives have nonetheless long found domestic political capital in asserting Canada’s ‘Arctic
Sovereignty.’ ”…
Latest on those vessels:
And as I wrote earlier:
…Then there are 6-8 Arctic/Offshore Patrol Ships (the government’s idea, not the Navy’s - their capabilities have been reduced too, the blinking things are neither fish nor cetacean), supposed to be built over the next few years…
I also wrote this:
It does look as if the US government may have given the Conservatives a bit of political help:
U.S. agreed to hold off on Arctic sovereignty claim during 2008 election
More on the document in question, just following our lead I’d say:
Bush Directive on Arctic Policy Stresses U.S. Sovereignty
Mark Collins is a prolific Ottawa blogger
fdc